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How Volume Determines Intraday Volatility and Opportunity

How much movement can you expect during a trading day? As I've stressed in past posts , this is very much related to the volume of busi...
Tuesday Evening Reading

Tuesday Evening Reading

* Here's a very interesting site that tracks the odds of market indexes hitting particular price levels during the day; * Becoming th...

Nice Way of Organizing Price and Technical Signal Data

I notice that the beta version of Barchart.com (for subscribers) has a new "Trader's Cheat Sheet" feature that plots prices f...

More On Planning Trades and Mental Flexibility

My previous post outlined how I use price levels to set targets for trade ideas. Note how, in the opening minutes of trade, we could not m...
Lessons From a Recent Trade

Lessons From a Recent Trade

In my recent post , I walked readers through a short-term trade, explaining how I used an understanding of market context to help frame an i...

A Window on a Short-Term Trade: Integrating Context and Real-Time Market Action

So here is an example of a good trade idea gone wrong. Please note that in this example I am trading a very short-term time frame, not look...
The Trading Process:  Context

The Trading Process: Context

In this series of posts, I will outline the steps I go through in the trading process. I want to stress that there are other ways of tradin...
Happy Holiday Readings

Happy Holiday Readings

* Stress and performance in trading; see also posts on handling the stress of trading ; * Very interesting project at Market Rewind to tr...

Looking at the Correlation of Trend and Volatility

Note how volatility (average daily high/low range for SPY over a moving five-day period; red line above) has been coming down during the lea...

The Psychological Importance of Paths of Returns

In my post on risk and return , I showed how shifts in volatility and the size of a trader's edge greatly affect the path of returns ove...
The Power of Uncertainty

The Power of Uncertainty

Losing confidence in your trading is not necessarily a bad thing. Many times, we lose confidence when we sense that our edge in markets mig...
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